![]() |
|
Welcome to the Australian Ford Forums forum. You are currently viewing our boards as a guest which gives you limited access to view most discussions and inserts advertising. By joining our free community you will have access to post topics, communicate privately with other members, respond to polls, upload content and access many other special features without post based advertising banners. Registration is simple and absolutely free so please, join our community today! If you have any problems with the registration process or your account login, please contact us. Please Note: All new registrations go through a manual approval queue to keep spammers out. This is checked twice each day so there will be a delay before your registration is activated. |
|
The Bar For non Automotive Related Chat |
![]() |
|
Thread Tools | Display Modes |
![]() |
#5401 | |||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,056
|
Quote:
Some countries (notably the UK) have decided to ignore the international guidelines and as a result the number of reported deaths dropped by about 3k a a couple of days ago after they reclassified some deaths to other causes. That is manipulation of the data. If everyone sings from the same hymn sheet then we end up with directly comparable statistics but if some countries start doing their own thing in order to make the data more palatable then we lose consistency in the data models. The WHO also issues a separate set of guidelines for classification of COVID19 to ensure consistency in the data. In short, these guidelines state: (the emphasis is mine) A death due to COVID-19 is defined as a death resulting from a clinically compatible illness, in a probable or confirmed COVID-19 case, unless there is a clear alternative cause of death that cannot be related to COVID disease (e.g. trauma). There should be no period of complete recovery from COVID-19 between illness and death. A death due to COVID-19 may not be attributed to another disease (e.g. cancer) and should be counted independently of pre-existing conditions that are suspected of triggering a severe course of COVID-19. The current form for recording a death that is used for global reporting of all morbidities has multiple lines to record the 'cause' with the main cause on the last line and 2 sections. Line 1: Report disease or condition directly leading to death This is used to identify the specific diagnosis that caused the death - e.g pneumonia or ARDS. Lines 2 onwards: Report chain of events in due to order (if applicable) So in a COVID19 case we might have the following: Line 1: ARDS Line 2: (due to) Pneumonia Line 3: (due to) COVID19 The second section is used for recording co-morbidities: 2. Other significant conditions contributing to death (time intervals can be included in brackets after the condition)
__________________
Observatio Facta Rotae
|
|||
![]() |
2 users like this post: |
![]() |
#5403 | ||
Ford G6ET FG MkII
Join Date: Jul 2020
Location: W.A Cap. Nth. Sub.
Posts: 485
|
|
||
![]() |
This user likes this post: |
![]() |
#5404 | ||
Donating Member
![]() Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 5,676
|
|
||
![]() |
![]() |
#5405 | ||
Ford G6ET FG MkII
Join Date: Jul 2020
Location: W.A Cap. Nth. Sub.
Posts: 485
|
|
||
![]() |
![]() |
#5406 | ||
Ford G6ET FG MkII
Join Date: Jul 2020
Location: W.A Cap. Nth. Sub.
Posts: 485
|
[QUOTE= conspiracy theories ?[/QUOTE]
nothing familiar, help me out. What do think the conspiracy theory is ? Sorry if I missed the msg but I thought NSW was considered to be the 'mexicans' AS A JOKE FFS Last edited by Mr_G6ET; 17-08-2020 at 10:52 PM. Reason: who cares |
||
![]() |
![]() |
#5407 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,056
|
272 new cases for Australia and 25 deaths sees the CMR rise to 1.787% although active cases drop to 8,599. NSW recorded 7 cases, SA recorded 1 with the balance in Victoria. The 25 deaths represent the worst day thus far since the pandemic began.
9 new cases and no deaths for NZ so CMR is 1.349% and active cases rise to 78. The UK had 713 new cases and 3 deaths yesterday for a CMR of 12.960%. Just over (a much lower) 37.5k new cases in the USA yesterday and 521 deaths sees CMR down to 3.110% and active cases at 44.4% with the raw numbers rising again. Note that the USA is actually minus one day due to time differences. Other notable points: The USA completes 71M, UAE 6M and India 31M tests; Australia's CMR drops below that of both NZ and Russia; Peru now has the 2nd worst deaths per 100k adults (104.89) behind only Belgium; Lebanon (456) is the only country torecord a new daily high; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day.
__________________
Observatio Facta Rotae
|
||
![]() |
This user likes this post: |
![]() |
#5408 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,056
|
Some of the modelling makes interesting reading.
For example, most models currently have the USA hitting anywhere between 12-20M confirmed infections and 205-250k deaths by the end of October but that is such a wide range as to be almost meaningless. For what it's worth (frankly not much), my modelling suggests that the number of cases is likely to be somewhat lower than those predictions - somewhere between 7.5-10M with the greater likelihood at the lower end of that range if the current trends hold. My model is in agreement with the range of deaths although it is likely to be at the lower end of that spectrum (205k) given the recent improvements. The predictions for Australia are suggesting 1,525 deaths by the end of October but my modelling only has a range of 300-500 with weighting toward the lower end. My case number modelling has an unfortunately wide range due to the Victorian spike so the prediction is anything between 24-36K cases by the end of October.
__________________
Observatio Facta Rotae
|
||
![]() |
2 users like this post: |
![]() |
#5411 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 3,878
|
|
||
![]() |
4 users like this post: |
![]() |
#5412 | ||
I am Groot
![]() Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Burnett Heads, Qld
Posts: 6,840
|
For as long as i can remember in WA......
__________________
.. ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() "Those were the days when the cars were cars, they weren't built out of an Ikea pack like they are now and clothed in plastic; they were real cars." John Bowe |
||
![]() |
This user likes this post: |
![]() |
#5413 | ||
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 2,489
|
All you big islanders are Mexicans! ha
|
||
![]() |
2 users like this post: |
![]() |
#5414 | ||
Ford G6ET FG MkII
Join Date: Jul 2020
Location: W.A Cap. Nth. Sub.
Posts: 485
|
|
||
![]() |
![]() |
#5415 | ||
Shenanigans..............
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Footscrazy
Posts: 12,365
|
|
||
![]() |
4 users like this post: |
![]() |
#5416 | ||
Regular Member
Join Date: Jun 2019
Posts: 372
|
Sign up for the vaccine here.
https://www.nucleusnetwork.com/form/...kvJPKAFv8qktuk I signed up but got rejected; no reason given, just didn't meet criteria. Age maybe. |
||
![]() |
![]() |
#5417 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,056
|
214 new cases for Australia and 17 deaths sees the CMR rise to 1.842% although active cases drop to 8,406. NSW recorded 3 cases, WA recorded 1 with the balance in Victoria.
12 new cases and no deaths for NZ so CMR is 1.339% and active cases rise to 90. The UK had 1,089 new cases and 12 deaths yesterday for a CMR of 12.920% although we know they are now not counting their mortalities by the WHO guidelines. Just over 40.5k new cases in the USA yesterday and 589 deaths sees CMR down to 3.095% and active cases at 44.9% with the raw numbers still rising. Note that the USA is actually minus one day due to time differences. Other notable points: The USA completes 72M and Belgium 2M tests; Global cases pass 22M with the last 1M taking 5 days; Tunisia (129), Albania (155), Nepal (1,016) and Iraq (4,576) recorded new daily highs; those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day.
__________________
Observatio Facta Rotae
|
||
![]() |
This user likes this post: |
![]() |
#5418 | ||
Bolt Nerd
![]() Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Ojochal, Costa Rica (Pura Vida!)
Posts: 14,658
|
https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...ne-covid-cases
Pesky New Zealanders!!.... Really need to start taking advice from the man in control!
__________________
Current vehicles.. Yamaha Rhino UTV, SWB 4L TJ Jeep, and boring Lhd RAV4 Bionic BF F6... UPDATE: Replaced by Shiro White 370z 7A Roadster. SOLD Workhack: FG Silhouette XR50 Turbo ute (11.63@127.44mph) SOLD 2 wheels.. 2015 103ci HD Wideglide.. SOLD SOLD THE LOT, Voted with our feet and relocated to COSTA RICA for some Pura Vida! (Ex Blood Orange #023 FPV Pursuit owner ![]() |
||
![]() |
5 users like this post: |
![]() |
#5419 | ||
Ford G6ET FG MkII
Join Date: Jul 2020
Location: W.A Cap. Nth. Sub.
Posts: 485
|
|
||
![]() |
3 users like this post: |
![]() |
#5420 | |||
Regular Member
Join Date: Jun 2019
Posts: 372
|
Quote:
https://crooksandliars.com/2020/08/a...-my-pillow-guy |
|||
![]() |
![]() |
#5421 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Sep 2015
Location: nz
Posts: 1,846
|
Quote:
![]()
__________________
Fgx xr8 winter white manual, gone but not forgotten 22 mitsubishi outlander XLS PHEV Au11 fairmont Ghia ported gt40p heads ,comp springs and locks Xe 264 cam,custom intake,pacemaker tri y headers 524nm torque 19 Triton GSXR manual |
|||
![]() |
2 users like this post: |
![]() |
#5422 | ||
Cabover nut
Join Date: Aug 2015
Location: Onsite Eastcoast
Posts: 10,851
|
__________________
heritagestonemason.com/Fordlouisvillerestoration In order that the labour of centuries past may not be in vain during the centuries to come...... D. Diderot 1752
|
||
![]() |
![]() |
#5423 | |||
Thailand Specials
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Centrefold Lounge
Posts: 49,097
|
Quote:
The guy is a salesman who happens to be President of the USA, it's not surprising the guy uses sales tactics for everything. There's 'telling lies' and there's bull****ting, this falls in the latter category and is sales 101. |
|||
![]() |
![]() |
#5424 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,900
|
Has anyone heard of "Plan D"?
Deliberately creating new strains of CV, infecting 30,000 volunteers, so that they can then trial different vaccines?!?!?! Geeeees....what could go wrong? Are there even labs that can hold that many people? Actually I don't know if I want to know the answer to that. https://www.washingtonpost.com/healt...llenge-trials/ |
||
![]() |
![]() |
#5425 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Sep 2015
Location: nz
Posts: 1,846
|
Quote:
Slight correction .......most people should be most mericans ![]()
__________________
Fgx xr8 winter white manual, gone but not forgotten 22 mitsubishi outlander XLS PHEV Au11 fairmont Ghia ported gt40p heads ,comp springs and locks Xe 264 cam,custom intake,pacemaker tri y headers 524nm torque 19 Triton GSXR manual |
|||
![]() |
![]() |
#5426 | ||
Banned
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 2,489
|
|
||
![]() |
2 users like this post: |
![]() |
#5427 | ||
Cabover nut
Join Date: Aug 2015
Location: Onsite Eastcoast
Posts: 10,851
|
Or money in the long run.
__________________
heritagestonemason.com/Fordlouisvillerestoration In order that the labour of centuries past may not be in vain during the centuries to come...... D. Diderot 1752
|
||
![]() |
5 users like this post: |
![]() |
#5428 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 3,318
|
|
||
![]() |
5 users like this post: |
![]() |
#5429 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Ballarat
Posts: 2,126
|
Quote:
![]() ![]() ![]() |
|||
![]() |