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#5311 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 545
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#5312 | ||
Guest
Posts: n/a
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#5313 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Canberra
Posts: 13,382
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FFS when does the seasonal flu overwhelm the hospitals. Why can't people understand that simple fact?
We don't have a huge problem here because we have prepared for it and put in measures to prevent it. |
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#5314 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 545
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When exactly did the covid overwhelm the health system? Do you know how many contract the flu every year. Do you know how many people died of the flu last year? Or even this year?
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#5315 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Apr 2013
Posts: 3,318
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#5317 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Canberra
Posts: 13,382
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Yes it does. I actually got one for the first time this year.
Never bothered before but thought it would be a good time to do it given this whole mess. One less thing to worry about. Only mistake is I got the shot in my dominant arm because that was the closest to the nurse and thought nothing of it but it was sore for a couple of days after that. Nothing big but next time I will do the other arm ![]() |
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#5318 | ||||
🚫⏰4️⃣🐃💩
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 1,901
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Does this also apply to the ladies?
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#5319 | ||
Bolt Nerd
![]() Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Ojochal, Costa Rica (Pura Vida!)
Posts: 14,640
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A BILLION dollars per death?
https://youtu.be/XrDZec8-X3Q
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Current vehicles.. Yamaha Rhino UTV, SWB 4L TJ Jeep, and boring Lhd RAV4 Bionic BF F6... UPDATE: Replaced by Shiro White 370z 7A Roadster. SOLD Workhack: FG Silhouette XR50 Turbo ute (11.63@127.44mph) SOLD 2 wheels.. 2015 103ci HD Wideglide.. SOLD SOLD THE LOT, Voted with our feet and relocated to COSTA RICA for some Pura Vida! (Ex Blood Orange #023 FPV Pursuit owner ![]() |
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#5320 | |||
Chairman & Administrator
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Location: 1975
Posts: 107,036
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Italy, Spain, Belgium and the UK are three of the countries whose health systems did get overloaded in the early phases and one of the consequences of that was a higher than average CMR - and not just by a little with the UK over 15%, Italy at 14%, Belgium at 13% and Spain at 7%. Estimates for the number of flu cases globally vary as it's often not reported or even reportable but the generally quoted figure is 700-800M cases; 3-5M serious cases and 300K deaths. Just as an FYI that's a 0.04% CMR (based on 700M) which is way below the CMR even in Australia for COVID19. I actually posted the Australian figures (where it is reportable) several pages back but here is a summary of 2019 - 2019 was a bad Influenza year in Australia with 310k diagnosed cases and 804 deaths which is a CMR of 0.27% (COVID19 is 1.6% in Australia currently) but the diagnosed cases only represent a fraction of the total case numbers anyway.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#5321 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 4,938
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For reference I work in an office thorugh the day but am always outside, shorts singlet and thongs every time possible and the weather allows it. With a half decent tan my Vit D number was almost none existent, zero. I started using tablets to get a number and should really keep taking them but somehow got out the habit. |
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#5322 | |||
Thailand Specials
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Centrefold Lounge
Posts: 49,058
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Quote:
![]() My most pressing problem is I'm losing me hair at a rate of knots but not gaining wrinkles fast enough to pull off the shaved head look without looking like a neo Nazi ![]() Baby face with a shaved head isn't a great look ![]() |
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#5323 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 545
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Thanks russellw, I already knew what the numbers were. I put the question to the other member. I guess the covid deaths would be overstated and the flu deaths understated. Argue all you like covid is a flu a sars actually. Perhaps one could say that it is a touch more contagious and deadly. Still 800 odd deaths from the flu and nobody blinks an eye. And this happens every year. Strange....
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#5324 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,848
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Because it is interesting. They are interesting because they consistently did something different to most others. Rolling 7 day Daily new infections are at the same level as late march after a peak in June. Slow increase, sudden drop, steady then slight bounceback. There is virtually no social distancing, virtually no masks - so why does the rate drop suddenly through July ? - is it a summer thing ? (the UK, and USA did not get a summer reprieve) Rolling 7 day Deaths peaked April 16 at 99, then virtually steady decline until 1 per day rolling 7 day average. Why ? I have not said that they got everything right, but there are some answers or at least some questions to be found in their figures. Note - they are very consistent with how they count deaths over time, arguably moreso than many other countries with a significant Covid-19 problem - They look at every death, if the person had a positive COVID-19 test in the 30 days before death, then it is counted as a COVID-19 Death. I don't know how to objectively compare economies. |
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#5325 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Sep 2015
Location: nz
Posts: 1,846
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__________________
Fgx xr8 winter white manual, gone but not forgotten 22 mitsubishi outlander XLS PHEV Au11 fairmont Ghia ported gt40p heads ,comp springs and locks Xe 264 cam,custom intake,pacemaker tri y headers 524nm torque 19 Triton GSXR manual |
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#5326 | |||
Rob
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Woodcroft S.A.
Posts: 21,537
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Quote:
The rest of the country have done ok.
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UA2 TREND 4WD BI TURBO |
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#5327 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 1,584
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As NZ Govt seems "unable" to find the source of latest Covid infection, so i'll make up a hypothetical scenario how about the 20 year old girlfriend of a gang 501 depotee (Who has Covid) some how breaks in his quarantine facility at night for a meet and greet, (these are Hotels not Prisons) some how this poor beneficiary and her child ends up with a wad of cash then does a tour of the North Island staying at a high end $$ Rotorua resort and doing every attraction in town, plus Taupo lake cruise, and because of who she associates with she would not be very cooperative with the Police in interviews. The End..
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#5328 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2012
Posts: 3,878
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#5329 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Ballarat
Posts: 2,124
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I am on work sites every day, most have implemented the temperature checks by now in some shape or form. Even seen a computerised one last week that recognises if you've got a mask on and yells at you if you dont.
Ive come accross probably 3 people that ive seen not wearing masks. Has anyone on here had a go at someone not complying yet? Ive wanted to so badly but havent |
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#5330 | ||
Thailand Specials
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Centrefold Lounge
Posts: 49,058
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We're not supposed to have visitors to site but I've had probably 15 people turn up in the last week even after being told no.
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#5331 | ||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 6,893
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Curious. In what is supposed to be an open and transparent system, why is the government allowed to stop important witnesses and documents from being examined in relation to the pandemic response? I can understand if this was related to "national security" matters, such as those linked to serious crimes or defence, but this about an inquiry into a pandemic response.
How do they expect people to trust when all this secret squirrel stuff is going on? National cabinet documents might not be available to state hotel inquiry https://www.theage.com.au/national/v...14-p55lu3.html Appreciate it says might not be available. There are a lot of rumours flying around about Ruby. Rumours that a member of Dutton's office had their parents on board, and that a contingent of Hillsong members were also on the ship. Hence why officials were keen to get people off the ship asap. ABF officers were not permitted to testify. Why? Are these just rumours or is there some truth? We need answers. |
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#5332 | ||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,036
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385 new cases for Australia and 14 deaths sees the CMR rise to 1.649% and active cases rise to 9,018. NSW recorded 9 cases, Queensland 3, WA and SA 1 each with the balance in Victoria.
22 new cases and no deaths for NZ so CMR is 1.373% and active cases rise to 49. The UK has done another one of their magical recounts which increased the number of deaths early in the pandemic - about an extra 2k in March/April) but then reduced the number of deaths between May and July by about 5k. They had 1,440 new cases and 11 deaths yesterday for a CMR of 13.073%. Just over 55k new cases in the USA yesterday and 1,284 deaths sees CMR down to 3.147% and active cases at 44.4% with the raw numbers rising again. Note that the USA is actually minus one day due to time differences. Other notable points: The USA completes 69M, India 27M and France 6M tests; Asia recorded a record high for new cases with 94,310; S America joins N America in having >40 deaths per 100k of population; Greece (251), Lebanon (334), Venezuela (1,281), Ukraine (1,732), Iraq (4,013) and Peru (9,441) all recorded new daily highs, those in blue for the second consecutive day and those in red for a third or more consecutive day.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#5333 | |||
🚫⏰4️⃣🐃💩
Join Date: Sep 2012
Posts: 1,901
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Quote:
The NSW Gov were blaming the Border Force for the debacle. The inquiry has now 100% cleared the Border Force from any wrong doing. Not a word yet from the NSW Premier, or the Health Minister on the findings. edit: If anyone is up for some reading, click HERE for the report, released yesterday. All 320 pages of it! Last edited by Tickford.; 15-08-2020 at 12:20 PM. Reason: attached report |
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#5334 | |||
FF.Com.Au Hardcore
Join Date: Jan 2018
Posts: 990
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Quote:
I seen this on the Simpsons. Bart mistook 3 Jews for ZZ Top and said you rock man ! as he went past. |
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#5335 | ||
Where to next??
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Sydney
Posts: 8,893
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7 new cases in NZ. Some of these linked to the family of 4 found to have it last week.
303 new cases in Melbourne, 4 deaths. A handful of new cases in NSW. Sent from my SM-G973F using Tapatalk
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___________________________ I've been around the world a couple of times or maybe more....... |
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#5336 | |||
Giddy up.
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Kramerica Industries.
Posts: 15,633
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Quote:
I was grocery shopping the other day at Coles and a young woman working there was not wearing a mask, where as every other worker was, I figure it's not really my place to judge nor look at her with disappear as she could very well have a valid reason. |
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#5337 | |||
Thailand Specials
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Centrefold Lounge
Posts: 49,058
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#5338 | ||
Regular Member
Join Date: Jun 2019
Posts: 372
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Can someone help me out here. I don't recall the WHO warning us that we may never have a vaccine. Not saying they didn't but given that quite a few researchers are making good progress it seems like a silly thing to say.
Was this true or did you read it in The Australian? |
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#5339 | |||
Chairman & Administrator
![]() ![]() Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 107,036
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It has an interesting introduction, describing (in a classic piece of understatement) the whole fiasco as a 'mishap'. The intro further goes on to make this comment about operators of the Ruby Princess: Princess Cruises or Carnival, as the cruise ship business responsible for the passengers and crew is variously named in the Report, was notoriously the object of considerable blame and criticism in public discussion leading up to, and indeed during, this Commission. For the reasons that are explained in the body of this Report, such issues are not central to the course of conduct that brought about so many infected people departing relatively unrestrained that unfortunate morning from the ship, into the community – in New South Wales, other parts of Australia, and overseas especially in the United States of America. But it is not sensibly possible to pass over Carnival’s part in this episode... Further, about the public health response: ..it must be understood that the shortcomings in the public health response that are found in detail in the body of the Report are by no means to be regarded straightforwardly as causes of the suffering that has followed. .. and: As explained in the body of the Report, the proper approach to the COVID-19 threat posed by the Ruby Princess’s nearing the Heads on 18 March 2020 called for the travellers on board to be regarded, in the absence of test results being known, as presenting a real possibility – not remote, not fanciful – that they included one or more infected people who could transmit the virus and perhaps spark an outbreak of infection, if no steps were taken to prevent or limit that outcome. .. and: On the whole, the State public health officials did adequately attempt to protect the public health against COVID-19 on cruise ships, by reference in particular to the need to check for human error. However, and it is a big however, their attempts sadly miscarried in this event. The fact is that the Expert Panel knew, as well as Ms Ressler as a senior epidemiologist knew, that during the voyage the class of possibly suspect cases of COVID-19 had substantially expanded by inclusion of the criterion of any recent presence overseas (such as arrival from the USA for the cruise). Members of the Expert Panel, not only Ms Ressler, failed to realise and act on this information. Combined, it was a serious mistake that contributed to the relatively unrestrained scattering of passengers on 19 March 2020. ... the failure to await test results on 19 March is a large factor in this Commission’s findings as to the mistakes and misjudgements that caused the scattering of infected passengers. As it happened, two other factors in relation to testing were also significant, if not so causally important. First, the avoidable delay in testing and notifying its results could have had real public health consequences – although the hypotheticals are quite beyond confident reconstruction. Second, the small number of swabs taken on board the Ruby Princess and available for testing early on 19 March represented a woeful shortcoming in the stipulated number. Somewhat more damningly (after acknowledging that what 'might' have happened is impossible to determine: What can confidently be concluded is that we – New South Wales and the broader community – would have been very likely considerably better off with respect to COVID-19 had those mistakes not been made. Here is the review of the countervailing factors (excuses basically) to see what impact they might have had, including: Was expense, public or private, a reason not to await results in order to consider eg quarantine arrangements rather than scattering? No – and the massive knock to public and private wealth as a result of every outbreak of COVID-19, including from the Ruby Princess, explains why concern about expense would never have justified a passive response. Was a disinclination to inconvenience returning passengers, especially our overseas guests, an explanation for the Expert Panel’s assessment of low risk and not awaiting test results? No, again. Although personal liberty was properly considered, the evidence does not suggest that some misplaced preference for an individual’s freedom from restraint over the community freedom from further infection motivated the course taken. What about the risk of infection posed to passengers kept on board? Was the then recent experience of a rapidly and widely spread outbreak on the Diamond Princess in Japan a reason that drove a decision to get passengers off the Ruby Princess as soon as possible? It has to be said immediately that members of the Expert Panel did not say so, and the finding is that this fear did not motivate their decision. The ABF was cleared of any culpability given that the decision (despite their name) was well out of their bailiwick: Given its lack of medical or epidemiological expertise, it is well for the public good that the ABF (and, for that matter, the Department of Home Affairs) do not bear any responsibility for the Ruby Princess mishap. The Department of Agriculture, Water & Environment (DAWE) and State Health Dept. didn't fare quite so well: It was the State’s Expert Panel that made the operative decision, relayed accurately (if by a clumsy means) to the DAWE Biosecurity Officer. I find the comments in relation to Ministerial responsibility, interesting: Perhaps those making calls for the Minister to appear at a Commission hearing during the Inquiry had in mind some version of the rather nebulous so-called Westminster theory of ministerial responsibility. This report is not the place to expatiate on the unsatisfactory nature of this idea, that does not really warrant being called a doctrine. Of course a Minister should resign in some circumstances, but as this Commission sees it, without wading into the partisan politics, this case would not appear to fit that outcome. The failures were professional – failures in decision-making by experts. They are not, as to their expert judgements, subject to Ministerial direction. Nor should they be, unless our system of government were to become farcical. Most of the 'serious' errors were by the Expert Panel and the summary of that Chapter reads: In light of all the information the Expert Panel had, the decision to assess the risk as “low risk” – meaning, in effect, “do nothing” – is as inexplicable as it is unjustifiable. It was a serious mistake. .. but Carnival didn't escape either: Carnival should have ensured that Dr von Watzdorf was made aware of the change to the CDNA “suspect case” definition on 10 March 2020. They should also have ensured that passengers and crew aboard the Ruby Princess were informed that there were suspect cases of COVID-19 on board. Those persons meeting the definition of a suspect case should have been required to isolate in their cabins. .. or NSW Health The directive to allow passengers to onward travel interstate and internationally after disembarkation on 19 March did not appropriately contemplate or comply with the terms of the Public Health Order that came into effect on 17 March, which required all cruise ship passengers entering the State from any other country to isolate themselves in suitable accommodation for 14 days. and further.. The fact sheet linked to an email sent to passengers at 10:46am on 20 March incorrectly advised that they were permitted to continue with onward travel, despite being identified as “close contacts” of a confirmed COVID-19 case. Although this advice was corrected by NSW Health by the evening of 21 March, it was at that stage too late to prevent a considerable number of interstate and international passengers from onward travelling, including some passengers who were symptomatic during transit. That's about the key salient points from my reading except to say that, as is normal with these reports, no real culpability is placed on public servants for doing their job: as noted in this Chapter and throughout the body of this Report. It is accordingly right that I acknowledge as Commissioner that these imperfections in the State’s public health work on 18-19 March 2020 in relation to the Ruby Princess should not be taken as damning condemnation of the individual public servants involved. The lapses identified are not in some way typical or characteristic of them or their colleagues. Some of these estimable individuals, as the evidence showed, remain in charge of weighty aspects of the State’s frontline response to the pandemic. I have to say that my confidence in their good faith and skilled diligence in these continuing efforts was not dented by the criticism I have expressed about the Ruby Princess episode. Everyone makes mistakes, and when we judge one another we should bear that in mind.
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Observatio Facta Rotae
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#5340 | |||
Thailand Specials
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Centrefold Lounge
Posts: 49,058
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I think that whole thing deserves a 'lol wtf' |
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