Thread: Covid 19 -
View Single Post
Old 04-08-2020, 12:28 AM   #4955
russellw
Chairman & Administrator
Donating Member3
 
russellw's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: 1975
Posts: 106,601
Community Builder: In recognition of those who have helped build the AFF community. - Issue reason: Raptor: For Continued, and prolonged service to the wider Ford Community 
Default Re: Covid 19 -

Quote:
Originally Posted by T2rminator
"Research from the Burnett Institute revealed that before Melbourne introduced Stage 3 lockdowns, the reproduction number was 1.75, ABC’s 7.30 program reported.

The Level 3 restrictions brought that infection rate down, meaning that 20,000 infections were avoided during the month of July."

How many potential deaths is 20,000 infections that based on current CMR?
At the current Australian CMR of 1.161% that's a worst case scenario of 200 deaths.

Further to the comment above, we knew that China was being less than truthful about either case or mortality numbers and it doesn't surprise me that there are others being (let's be generous) a bit inaccurate for a variety of reasons not all of them deliberate.
__________________

__________________________________________________

Observatio Facta Rotae



Last edited by russellw; 04-08-2020 at 12:35 AM.
russellw is offline  
This user likes this post: