Thread: Covid 19 -
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Old 22-04-2020, 12:21 PM   #2080
russellw
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Default Re: Covid 19 -

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Originally Posted by cs123 View Post
Is there any modelling based on infection detection vs number of tests to give any idea of how many cases could still be out there?

What are the odds of it spreading though multiple people undetected?
I can't help with the latter as the R0 rate varies wildly from place to place.

Testing regimes are still well behind where they probably need to be. Among the larger ones I've been looking at, the UK has tested 1.03% of the adult population; the US 2.004%; NZ 2.441% and Australia 2.582%.

I'll dig into a few others with larger infection numbers and see what appears.
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