russellw, I'm sorry but your COVID-19 associated calculations, and charts are all wrong.
Please have a look at the link below. You need to consult this guy, who is (obviously) the world expert on COVID-19. His calculations and his charts are.. well, much better.
https://twitter.com/johnestevens/sta...20588998582273
I'd link the full interview, but I'll save everyone from the headache.