Quote:
Originally Posted by EgoFG
Sweden appears to be near herd immunity with 85,000 cases in 10,000,000 people, but WHO says herd immunity would likely be %60-%80 infected.
Extrapolating those numbers, for every reported case there would be 70 - 90 unreported cases.
If this can then be projected to Germany (very small sample size BTW) then -
Please feel free to re-examine the numbers.
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Happy to re-examine them. By their own admission, Sweden has failed to achieve anything close to herd immunity, in part because those with mild cases or who are asymptomatic appear to either not develop antibodies or only very low levels which does not appear (as we discussed a couple of days ago) to provide actual protection against infection in the mid term at least.
Even those with more severe cases who do develop antibodies do not necessarily have actual immunity from the limited research to date and given that the whole premise of the herd immunity approach is predicated on the assumption that infection = immunity from future infection then
if that is not the case, the theory fails.
What we do know about Sweden compared with the similarly sized Switzerland is that while their CMR and test percentages are similar; Sweden has had more than twice the number of cases per 100k of population (811 v 402) and two and a half times the number of deaths per 100k (57 v 22) that Switzerland has.
Likewise, Denmark, Norway and Finland are even lower at 241 , 54 and 37 cases per 100k respectively and their death rates are 10, 5 and 6 per 100k.
Nothing I've seen thus far is going to convince me that the Swedish
experimentara has been anything other than a dismal
fel.