Quote:
Originally Posted by russellw
Unfortunately, yes. Even at the present CMR of under 0.993%, the 4,085 new cases in the last 14 days will top out at some 40 deaths. In Victoria, we currently have 216 of the current 3,147 cases in hospital with 40 of those in ICU and 24 being ventilated but those numbers will probably climb for a couple more days before the deaths reduce them.
I've not seen any data on what the survival rate is for those admitted to ICU or being ventilated but I'd guess it's not all that great. Nationally, 6% of active cases are in hospital; 1.18% of active cases are in ICU and 0.71% of active cases are being intubated. Those ICU numbers are pretty close to the CMR which would support the view that the survival rate is low at best.
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Once you're on ventilation the survival rate is pretty low unfortunately.